While Wednesday afternoon will likely be the most active period due to this disturbance, abundant moisture will still linger into Thursday, namely during the morning hours before South Florida enters the backside region of the upper level low and a bit of drier air moves in. The low pressure system will continue pushing northeast into the western Atlantic by Wednesday night into Thursday. High temperatures through the short term period will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s. This moisture surge will support at least scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms Wednesday and Thursday, with high potential localized heavy rainfall, mainly on Wednesday afternoon and into the overnight hours. Modeled PWATs approach the 2.5 inch mark which would be over the 95th percentile for this time of year. This feature will keep enhanced south to southwesterly steering flow across South Florida, which could lead to an afternoon of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, more focused over the eastern side of South Florida. The weather pattern becomes much more active for Wednesday, as a weak low deepens over the western GOM and moves northeastward towards the Florida Big Bend. Despite ample moisture, warmer 500mb temperatures and weak lapse rates will lead to another afternoon of isolated thunderstorms and scattered showers, with the best chance along the east coast metro areas in the late afternoon and evening. This boundary will begin to retrograde northward later this morning which will keep southerly moisture advection across South Florida. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers.Īrea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 719 AM EDT Tue Oct 10 2023Ī stationary frontal boundary remains situated over the Florida Keys early this morning, keeping tropical moisture in place across the area with PWATs beginning to exceed 2.0 inches. A slight chance of showers and tstms late in the evening. A chance of showers.įri night.W sw winds 5 to 10 kt. A slight chance of showers in the morning. A chance of showers and tstms late in the evening, then a slight chance of showers and tstms after midnight.įri.SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Thu.Winds sw winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Wed night.S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Period 5 seconds increasing to 13 seconds. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms. AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 1106 Am Edt Tue Oct 10 2023
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